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Red195
6166108.0
3928166.6
1775137.8
Blue525
1986194.7
5914131.4
5339116.0
27%Model gave it73%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions315364200250400450500550195525

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3928
#35
166.60.7
170.7170.0
Auto22.7
Teleop122.6
End17.8
blue by 28.1
194.72.7
185.8188.4
Auto24.1
Teleop137.5
End33.6
Second
1775
#27
137.81.3
136.7138.0
Auto16.2
Teleop103.8
End19.1
red by 6.4
5914
#17
131.42.8
122.5125.3
Auto17.7
Teleop93.9
End24.2
Third
6166
#53
108.01.0
112.0111.0
Auto17.0
Teleop85.3
End3.9
blue by 8.0
5339
#48
116.00.4
113.6114.1
Auto16.5
Teleop85.3
End13.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
55%Auto Quest oddsMissed69%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
5%Face the Boss oddsMissed35%Face the Boss oddsEarned