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Red395
2826161.5
5586102.2
1986194.7
Blue188
6913107.6
6613129.7
5339116.0
96%Model gave it4%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4162020100300500600700395188

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
194.73.1
188.4191.6
Auto24.1
Teleop137.5
End33.6
red by 65.0
6613
#18
129.70.7
129.0129.7
Auto17.0
Teleop100.1
End10.2
Second
2826
#14
161.50.6
160.0160.6
Auto18.1
Teleop120.9
End23.5
red by 45.5
5339
#48
116.02.0
114.1116.0
Auto16.5
Teleop85.3
End13.2
Third
5586
#45
102.20.2
102.4102.2
Auto16.6
Teleop80.1
End5.0
blue by 5.4
6913
#34
107.60.7
106.9107.6
Auto13.7
Teleop83.1
End8.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
67%Auto Quest oddsEarned39%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
38%Face the Boss oddsMissed5%Face the Boss oddsMissed