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Red433
171101.8
5464145.5
1756187.9
Blue167
3928166.6
6574130.6
3090108.9
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions341318100200400500600433167

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1756
#13
187.90.8
185.7186.5
Auto26.5
Teleop133.8
End22.8
red by 21.3
3928
#35
166.61.8
170.0168.2
Auto22.7
Teleop122.6
End17.8
Second
5464
#22
145.50.4
145.2145.5
Auto14.2
Teleop103.4
End29.7
red by 14.9
6574
#30
130.61.8
128.9130.6
Auto17.2
Teleop98.4
End16.6
Third
171
#49
101.81.0
102.8101.8
Auto14.4
Teleop75.5
End11.0
blue by 7.1
3090
#43
108.92.0
106.9108.9
Auto15.8
Teleop83.2
End10.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
30%Auto Quest oddsEarned63%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
22%Face the Boss oddsMissed5%Face the Boss oddsMissed