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Red300
537107.3
6237144.5
4011149.6
Blue369
5019102.8
1986194.7
171101.8
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3013210100200400500600700800300369

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4011
#32
149.62.4
142.6144.9
Auto17.4
Teleop108.8
End23.6
blue by 45.1
194.71.6
166.2167.8
Auto24.1
Teleop137.5
End33.6
Second
144.50.5
130.3130.8
Auto16.9
Teleop105.9
End24.3
red by 41.8
5019
#50
102.817.3
63.480.6
Auto15.2
Teleop75.0
End12.5
Third
537
#52
107.30.2
108.8108.6
Auto13.2
Teleop77.4
End15.2
red by 5.5
171
#49
101.81.4
113.7112.3
Auto14.4
Teleop75.5
End11.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
24%Auto Quest oddsEarned34%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed9%Face the Boss oddsEarned