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Quarterfinal 1-22018 Wisconsin Regional
Red463
2481212.9
1259188.9
6574116.4
Blue278
1732159.2
269144.7
1306137.3
92%Model gave it8%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4342530100200300400500600700463278

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2481
#4
212.90.5
210.1→210.6
Auto24.2
Teleop168.8
End20.7
red by 53.7
1732
#23
159.20.2
159.4→159.2
Auto24.6
Teleop116.3
End17.7
Second
1259
#1
188.90.5
186.2→186.7
Auto22.0
Teleop138.4
End29.2
red by 44.2
269
#11
144.71.0
143.6→144.7
Auto18.4
Teleop105.7
End20.8
Third
6574
#25
116.40.8
112.6→113.4
Auto18.1
Teleop88.0
End12.4
blue by 20.9
1306
#29
137.30.5
136.8→137.3
Auto20.2
Teleop103.1
End15.2