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Qual 152018 Wisconsin Regional
Red229
706124.8
3418136.4
4247125.8
Blue341
1091141.4
3596118.8
3692130.9
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions288308150200250350400450500229341

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3418
#24
136.47.3
111.0→118.3
Auto18.7
Teleop102.5
End14.5
blue by 5.0
1091
#33
141.411.1
103.3→114.4
Auto19.2
Teleop104.1
End20.3
Second
4247
#17
125.810.1
87.4→97.5
Auto15.6
Teleop99.0
End15.2
blue by 5.1
3692
#5
130.93.3
112.1→115.3
Auto19.5
Teleop96.5
End15.2
Third
706
#27
124.81.2
128.5→127.3
Auto16.4
Teleop93.8
End17.6
red by 6.0
3596
#19
118.816.3
71.4→87.8
Auto17.4
Teleop93.8
End7.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
21%Auto Quest oddsMissed48%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed