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Red170
6574116.4
6381115.2
1732159.2
Blue394
4296139.9
4786151.8
1108134.5
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions356287200400500600170394

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1732
#23
159.22.3
155.3157.6
Auto24.6
Teleop116.3
End17.7
red by 7.4
4786
#15
151.80.7
141.5140.9
Auto19.6
Teleop114.1
End17.2
Second
6574
#25
116.411.1
84.996.0
Auto18.1
Teleop88.0
End12.4
blue by 23.5
139.92.3
124.5126.8
Auto18.8
Teleop101.8
End22.1
Third
6381
#55
115.212.7
105.9118.6
Auto14.4
Teleop87.6
End11.8
blue by 19.3
1108
#18
134.50.1
127.8127.8
Auto21.3
Teleop101.0
End13.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
69%Auto Quest oddsEarned52%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
7%Face the Boss oddsMissed2%Face the Boss oddsMissed