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Red287
2077129.0
1259188.9
1792152.5
Blue278
2194157.9
4804110.1
1306137.3
91%Model gave it9%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3942370100200300500600287278

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
188.93.5
173.7177.2
Auto22.0
Teleop138.4
End29.2
red by 30.9
2194
#21
157.910.4
116.3126.7
Auto24.0
Teleop117.8
End13.8
Second
152.51.9
135.4137.3
Auto21.9
Teleop114.9
End19.1
red by 15.2
1306
#29
137.38.3
105.1113.4
Auto20.2
Teleop103.1
End15.2
Third
2077
#43
129.09.0
116.5125.5
Auto17.6
Teleop91.9
End17.7
red by 18.8
4804
#50
110.14.8
96.9101.7
Auto15.8
Teleop86.1
End9.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
56%Auto Quest oddsEarned23%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
8%Face the Boss oddsEarned4%Face the Boss oddsMissed