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Red188
3418136.4
6670107.9
1781130.3
Blue383
5976142.2
3130166.4
5855127.8
13%Model gave it87%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2443660100200300400500600188383

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3418
#24
136.43.9
118.3122.2
Auto18.7
Teleop102.5
End14.5
blue by 29.9
166.41.3
154.5155.8
Auto21.0
Teleop124.8
End21.0
Second
1781
#22
130.36.4
105.4111.7
Auto18.6
Teleop96.9
End15.2
blue by 11.9
5976
#12
142.28.6
117.5126.1
Auto21.7
Teleop106.5
End15.6
Third
6670
#41
107.96.4
92.899.2
Auto15.0
Teleop86.4
End10.4
blue by 19.9
5855
#38
127.88.5
106.9115.3
Auto14.2
Teleop99.8
End11.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
26%Auto Quest oddsEarned45%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed5%Face the Boss oddsMissed