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Red243
4247125.8
6421131.3
4296139.9
Blue237
2077129.0
5096121.0
6643101.7
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions285282240250260270290300310243237

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
139.91.7
129.5131.1
Auto18.8
Teleop101.8
End22.1
red by 10.9
2077
#43
129.05.7
125.5131.2
Auto17.6
Teleop91.9
End17.7
Second
6421
#32
131.37.1
116.7123.8
Auto14.8
Teleop102.2
End12.4
red by 10.4
5096
#30
121.03.5
112.1115.6
Auto14.8
Teleop94.0
End15.9
Third
4247
#17
125.81.7
103.2104.9
Auto15.6
Teleop99.0
End15.2
red by 24.2
6643
#47
101.71.3
102.4103.6
Auto12.5
Teleop78.1
End11.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
17%Auto Quest oddsEarned35%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed5%Face the Boss oddsMissed