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Red175
6381115.2
4804110.1
269144.7
Blue350
5148128.6
1091141.4
3197167.0
26%Model gave it74%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions267340100200300400500175350

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
269
#11
144.74.1
124.5128.6
Auto18.4
Teleop105.7
End20.8
blue by 22.3
167.02.4
148.6151.0
Auto22.8
Teleop120.0
End25.7
Second
6381
#55
115.21.7
124.3126.0
Auto14.4
Teleop87.6
End11.8
blue by 26.2
1091
#33
141.44.3
123.0127.3
Auto19.2
Teleop104.1
End20.3
Third
4804
#50
110.14.3
101.7106.0
Auto15.8
Teleop86.1
End9.1
blue by 18.5
5148
#40
128.64.9
115.2120.1
Auto15.5
Teleop97.5
End14.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
45%Auto Quest oddsMissed81%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
5%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed