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Qual 422018 Wisconsin Regional
Red374
93166.4
1714122.1
3596118.8
Blue294
7103135.5
1675156.9
6807100.8
88%Model gave it12%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions362236100200300400500600374294

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
93
#16
166.41.5
156.4→157.9
Auto19.6
Teleop124.4
End26.6
red by 9.6
1675
#20
156.91.8
143.5→145.3
Auto18.9
Teleop115.1
End22.4
Second
1714
#49
122.11.5
122.4→123.9
Auto16.7
Teleop91.1
End13.8
blue by 13.4
7103
#34
135.53.6
106.1→109.7
Auto18.5
Teleop104.6
End14.2
Third
3596
#19
118.84.7
108.7→113.4
Auto17.4
Teleop93.8
End7.4
red by 18.1
6807
#51
100.81.0
96.6→95.6
Auto13.6
Teleop75.7
End10.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
61%Auto Quest oddsEarned34%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed