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Red403
6223105.5
930146.9
6421131.3
Blue129
5855127.8
2574123.5
6574116.4
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions307259100200400500403129

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
930
#28
146.93.7
132.7136.4
Auto18.7
Teleop109.2
End16.5
red by 19.1
5855
#38
127.81.5
125.6127.1
Auto14.2
Teleop99.8
End11.8
Second
6421
#32
131.31.1
128.7129.7
Auto14.8
Teleop102.2
End12.4
red by 7.8
2574
#52
123.51.0
118.1119.0
Auto16.1
Teleop90.7
End16.9
Third
6223
#42
105.51.0
102.3101.2
Auto14.3
Teleop81.0
End8.7
blue by 10.9
6574
#25
116.40.5
108.5107.9
Auto18.1
Teleop88.0
End12.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
30%Auto Quest oddsMissed14%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed