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Qual 62018 Wisconsin Regional
Red322
1091141.4
279140.1
7103135.5
Blue338
5855127.8
1108134.5
323145.8
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2553120200400600800322338

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1091
#33
141.414.4
88.8→103.3
Auto19.2
Teleop104.1
End20.3
blue by 4.3
323
#9
145.81.6
129.4→131.0
Auto19.6
Teleop111.5
End14.1
Second
279
#14
140.10.2
128.9→129.1
Auto18.6
Teleop106.5
End13.0
red by 5.5
1108
#18
134.50.0
127.9→127.8
Auto21.3
Teleop101.0
End13.2
Third
7103
#34
135.564.9
142.7→77.7
Auto18.5
Teleop104.6
End14.2
red by 7.7
5855
#38
127.815.2
81.6→96.8
Auto14.2
Teleop99.8
End11.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
24%Auto Quest oddsEarned51%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed