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Red254
2202170.2
1306137.3
1732159.2
Blue385
4247125.8
111156.1
2194157.9
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3602910100200400500600254385

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
170.21.5
162.3163.8
Auto18.9
Teleop122.9
End32.9
red by 12.3
2194
#21
157.92.7
146.0148.6
Auto24.0
Teleop117.8
End13.8
Second
1732
#23
159.20.5
158.4159.0
Auto24.6
Teleop116.3
End17.7
red by 3.1
111
#13
156.12.8
140.9143.8
Auto17.7
Teleop120.5
End19.6
Third
1306
#29
137.34.0
131.3135.3
Auto20.2
Teleop103.1
End15.2
red by 11.4
4247
#17
125.82.9
107.4110.2
Auto15.6
Teleop99.0
End15.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
92%Auto Quest oddsMissed44%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
6%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed