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Red239
3596118.8
1306137.3
6643101.7
Blue351
5096121.0
6574116.4
269144.7
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions261299100150200350400450500239351

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1306
#29
137.30.6
136.6136.0
Auto20.2
Teleop103.1
End15.2
blue by 7.4
269
#11
144.73.7
134.8138.5
Auto18.4
Teleop105.7
End20.8
Second
3596
#19
118.80.7
119.2118.5
Auto17.4
Teleop93.8
End7.4
blue by 2.1
5096
#30
121.00.0
119.6119.6
Auto14.8
Teleop94.0
End15.9
Third
6643
#47
101.70.0
100.9100.9
Auto12.5
Teleop78.1
End11.0
blue by 14.7
6574
#25
116.42.6
105.9108.6
Auto18.1
Teleop88.0
End12.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
56%Auto Quest oddsEarned35%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed6%Face the Boss oddsMissed