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Red246
3081117.1
93166.4
706124.8
Blue412
3692130.9
269144.7
5586110.1
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3343120100200400500600700246412

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
93
#16
166.41.3
164.6165.9
Auto19.6
Teleop124.4
End26.6
red by 21.8
269
#11
144.73.8
138.5142.3
Auto18.4
Teleop105.7
End20.8
Second
706
#27
124.80.7
124.1124.8
Auto16.4
Teleop93.8
End17.6
blue by 6.1
130.91.5
127.6129.1
Auto19.5
Teleop96.5
End15.2
Third
3081
#31
117.10.3
117.5117.1
Auto14.0
Teleop91.5
End14.9
red by 7.0
5586
#46
110.12.4
112.5110.1
Auto16.5
Teleop87.3
End3.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
54%Auto Quest oddsEarned66%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsEarned3%Face the Boss oddsMissed