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Red380
3197167.0
2506114.5
5976142.2
Blue226
323145.8
2574123.5
6421131.3
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions310308200250350400380226

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
167.01.8
161.0162.8
Auto22.8
Teleop120.0
End25.7
red by 21.2
323
#9
145.81.8
143.3145.1
Auto19.6
Teleop111.5
End14.1
Second
5976
#12
142.20.7
141.0141.7
Auto21.7
Teleop106.5
End15.6
red by 10.9
6421
#32
131.32.3
133.7131.3
Auto14.8
Teleop102.2
End12.4
Third
2506
#48
114.51.5
116.0114.5
Auto16.0
Teleop87.1
End11.5
blue by 9.1
2574
#52
123.50.7
122.9123.5
Auto16.1
Teleop90.7
End16.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
84%Auto Quest oddsEarned48%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed