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Red438
2194157.9
3197167.0
4786151.8
Blue290
63166.4
2202170.2
3418136.4
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions370344200300400500600438290

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
167.00.7
164.3165.0
Auto22.8
Teleop120.0
End25.7
blue by 3.2
170.20.5
169.3169.8
Auto18.9
Teleop122.9
End32.9
Second
2194
#21
157.90.5
156.1156.6
Auto24.0
Teleop117.8
End13.8
blue by 8.4
63
#10
166.40.4
165.6166.0
Auto18.2
Teleop121.0
End30.0
Third
4786
#15
151.80.2
150.9151.1
Auto19.6
Teleop114.1
End17.2
red by 15.3
3418
#24
136.40.2
136.1136.3
Auto18.7
Teleop102.5
End14.5