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Red423
3324132.2
4028199.9
379190.0
Blue242
4611161.2
48144.3
2252159.5
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3963130100200500600700800423242

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
199.90.2
199.5199.7
Auto21.1
Teleop145.7
End31.2
red by 38.8
161.20.3
160.7161.0
Auto19.6
Teleop122.4
End17.7
Second
379
#1
190.00.1
189.9189.9
Auto23.2
Teleop138.8
End28.0
red by 30.5
159.50.4
158.8159.2
Auto19.0
Teleop109.8
End33.2
Third
3324
#26
132.20.3
132.8132.4
Auto17.7
Teleop98.1
End12.5
blue by 12.2
48
#18
144.30.3
143.7144.1
Auto22.0
Teleop110.4
End12.8