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Red320
291189.8
3492154.9
279132.5
Blue329
3260146.5
5811139.8
4521141.6
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3862710100200500600700320329

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
291
#13
189.80.2
189.5189.8
Auto23.0
Teleop148.5
End17.3
red by 43.3
3260
#28
146.50.0
146.3146.4
Auto17.0
Teleop110.5
End17.6
Second
154.90.3
154.6154.9
Auto18.7
Teleop114.1
End23.5
red by 13.3
4521
#25
141.60.1
142.0141.8
Auto16.0
Teleop104.1
End24.0
Third
279
#32
132.50.7
133.2132.5
Auto18.9
Teleop102.6
End6.2
blue by 7.3
5811
#10
139.80.1
139.3139.5
Auto15.4
Teleop103.3
End22.9