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Red290
4150142.7
4521141.6
6936126.8
Blue352
1014156.1
4611161.2
4467133.6
23%Model gave it77%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions301372100200400500290352

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4150
#30
142.71.1
145.4144.3
Auto16.4
Teleop109.0
End16.9
blue by 18.5
161.20.2
160.0160.2
Auto19.6
Teleop122.4
End17.7
Second
4521
#25
141.60.7
142.8142.2
Auto16.0
Teleop104.1
End24.0
blue by 14.5
1014
#19
156.10.7
157.3156.6
Auto19.0
Teleop117.1
End17.6
Third
6936
#27
126.80.4
126.1126.5
Auto17.4
Teleop85.0
End25.4
blue by 6.8
4467
#24
133.60.4
134.0133.6
Auto18.2
Teleop99.9
End14.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
47%Auto Quest oddsMissed88%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
22%Face the Boss oddsEarned6%Face the Boss oddsMissed