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Red347
3010156.5
4028199.9
6027144.4
Blue266
4150142.7
3504151.5
4085151.4
89%Model gave it11%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions404281200500600347266

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
199.91.8
196.0197.8
Auto21.1
Teleop145.7
End31.2
red by 48.4
3504
#12
151.50.4
151.1151.4
Auto21.0
Teleop112.0
End16.3
Second
3010
#15
156.50.9
155.6156.5
Auto21.0
Teleop116.2
End17.5
red by 5.1
151.41.6
148.2149.9
Auto17.4
Teleop116.5
End18.2
Third
144.40.3
144.3144.6
Auto17.8
Teleop108.4
End17.3
red by 1.7
4150
#30
142.71.0
144.3143.3
Auto16.4
Teleop109.0
End16.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
85%Auto Quest oddsEarned87%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
30%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed