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Red274
3504151.5
6834103.6
5811139.8
Blue350
6916119.5
120167.9
1014156.1
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions311350100200400500600274350

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3504
#12
151.51.1
154.6153.5
Auto21.0
Teleop112.0
End16.3
blue by 16.3
120
#11
167.90.2
168.1168.3
Auto22.2
Teleop122.2
End23.2
Second
5811
#10
139.80.1
140.2140.4
Auto15.4
Teleop103.3
End22.9
blue by 16.4
1014
#19
156.10.6
157.7158.3
Auto19.0
Teleop117.1
End17.6
Third
6834
#31
103.60.1
106.1106.3
Auto14.6
Teleop78.2
End6.5
blue by 15.9
6916
#17
119.50.8
122.1121.2
Auto18.3
Teleop87.5
End13.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
54%Auto Quest oddsMissed91%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed9%Face the Boss oddsMissed