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Red166
3538212.5
5549120.2
888180.3
Blue399
179207.5
456167.2
3504151.5
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions32737502006008001,0001,2001,4001,600166399

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
212.50.0
212.5212.5
Auto22.6
Teleop165.0
End21.8
red by 5.0
179
#1
207.50.0
207.5207.5
Auto21.3
Teleop144.3
End40.3
Second
888
#8
180.30.0
180.3180.3
Auto19.6
Teleop128.9
End30.0
red by 13.1
456
#13
167.20.0
167.2167.2
Auto19.7
Teleop125.4
End20.6
Third
5549
#17
120.20.0
120.2120.2
Auto19.4
Teleop93.3
End9.7
blue by 31.3
3504
#11
151.50.0
151.5151.5
Auto21.0
Teleop112.0
End16.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
80%Auto Quest odds97%Auto Quest odds
Face the Boss
24%Face the Boss odds41%Face the Boss odds