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Red425
6803168.0
6394141.3
910460.1
Blue321
6907165.1
5522146.5
6392119.9
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions319317200250300350400450425321

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6803
Unranked
168.00.0
168.0168.0
Auto19.6
Teleop130.5
End13.2
red by 2.9
6907
Unranked
165.10.0
165.1165.1
Auto20.5
Teleop122.6
End24.8
Second
6394
Unranked
141.30.0
141.3141.3
Auto17.5
Teleop105.4
End21.5
blue by 5.2
5522
Unranked
146.50.0
146.5146.5
Auto19.3
Teleop111.8
End13.3
Third
9104
Unranked
60.10.0
60.160.1
Auto5.0
Teleop45.2
End9.9
blue by 59.8
6392
Unranked
119.90.0
119.9119.9
Auto17.1
Teleop96.9
End6.2