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Red215
6803168.0
6394141.3
910460.1
Blue278
5839140.5
6487122.0
5515124.2
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions37325602006008001,000215278

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6803
Unranked
168.00.0
168.0168.0
Auto19.6
Teleop130.5
End13.2
red by 27.5
5839
Unranked
140.50.0
140.5140.5
Auto18.6
Teleop105.5
End16.7
Second
6394
Unranked
141.30.0
141.3141.3
Auto17.5
Teleop105.4
End21.5
red by 17.1
5515
Unranked
124.20.0
124.2124.2
Auto14.8
Teleop97.0
End14.7
Third
9104
Unranked
60.10.0
60.160.1
Auto5.0
Teleop45.2
End9.9
blue by 61.8
6487
Unranked
122.00.0
122.0122.0
Auto16.9
Teleop91.3
End14.3