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Red314
6907165.1
5522146.5
6392119.9
Blue255
908460.1
530891.1
6970126.5
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3881930100300500600700800314255

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6907
Unranked
165.10.0
165.1165.1
Auto20.5
Teleop122.6
End24.8
red by 38.6
6970
Unranked
126.50.0
126.5126.5
Auto17.5
Teleop99.4
End10.3
Second
5522
Unranked
146.50.0
146.5146.5
Auto19.3
Teleop111.8
End13.3
red by 55.4
5308
Unranked
91.10.0
91.191.1
Auto12.9
Teleop73.8
End3.3
Third
6392
Unranked
119.90.0
119.9119.9
Auto17.1
Teleop96.9
End6.2
red by 59.8
9084
Unranked
60.10.0
60.160.1
Auto5.0
Teleop45.2
End9.9