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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1724870100300400600700800177440

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
141.30.0
141.3141.3
Auto17.5
Teleop105.4
End21.5
blue by 110.8
252.10.0
252.1252.1
Auto29.0
Teleop173.2
End48.1
Second
6827
#24
134.60.0
134.6134.6
Auto18.9
Teleop102.0
End13.1
blue by 78.2
694
#2
212.80.0
212.8212.8
Auto22.0
Teleop163.8
End27.9
Third
6392
#46
119.90.0
119.9119.9
Auto17.1
Teleop96.9
End6.2
blue by 10.2
6991
#35
130.10.0
130.1130.1
Auto16.8
Teleop102.7
End11.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
72%Auto Quest odds96%Auto Quest odds
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss odds89%Face the Boss odds