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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions301299150200250350400450275196

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
359
#5
189.20.0
189.2189.2
Auto21.8
Teleop141.9
End20.3
red by 3.5
66
#26
185.80.0
185.8185.8
Auto22.7
Teleop145.1
End16.0
Second
6356
#51
109.00.0
109.0109.0
Auto14.1
Teleop87.1
End9.9
red by 48.9
9059
#45
60.10.0
60.160.1
Auto5.0
Teleop45.2
End9.9
Third
6393
#43
107.30.0
107.3107.3
Auto17.9
Teleop85.5
End6.9
red by 55.0
6374
#39
52.20.0
52.252.2
Auto4.3
Teleop39.3
End8.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
63%Auto Quest odds48%Auto Quest odds
Face the Boss
10%Face the Boss odds4%Face the Boss odds