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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1514050100200300500600700800160324

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5308
#28
91.10.0
91.191.1
Auto12.9
Teleop73.8
End3.3
blue by 78.3
2826
#16
169.50.0
169.5169.5
Auto19.4
Teleop124.7
End26.2
Second
5306
#50
61.10.0
61.161.1
Auto5.1
Teleop45.9
End10.1
blue by 86.3
1595
#22
147.40.0
147.4147.4
Auto18.5
Teleop106.9
End23.5
Third
9110
#44
60.10.0
60.160.1
Auto5.0
Teleop45.2
End9.9
Level
9059
#45
60.10.0
60.160.1
Auto5.0
Teleop45.2
End9.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
17%Auto Quest odds46%Auto Quest odds
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss odds16%Face the Boss odds