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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions33625902004006008001,00035660

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
165.10.0
165.1165.1
Auto20.5
Teleop122.6
End24.8
red by 18.6
5522
#38
146.50.0
146.5146.5
Auto19.3
Teleop111.8
End13.3
Second
5451
#12
124.80.0
124.8124.8
Auto19.3
Teleop103.4
End2.1
red by 3.5
5516
#42
121.30.0
121.3121.3
Auto18.6
Teleop95.2
End8.1
Third
9102
#40
60.10.0
60.160.1
Auto5.0
Teleop45.2
End9.9
blue by 46.0
6986
#41
106.10.0
106.1106.1
Auto13.7
Teleop85.9
End7.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
72%Auto Quest odds18%Auto Quest odds
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss odds3%Face the Boss odds