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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1344530100200300400500600700175419

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6433
#31
93.40.0
93.493.4
Auto15.7
Teleop73.6
End3.9
blue by 158.7
252.10.0
252.1252.1
Auto29.0
Teleop173.2
End48.1
Second
7280
#17
60.10.0
60.160.1
Auto5.0
Teleop45.2
End9.9
blue by 86.4
5522
#38
146.50.0
146.5146.5
Auto19.3
Teleop111.8
End13.3
Third
9104
#25
60.10.0
60.160.1
Auto5.0
Teleop45.2
End9.9
blue by 64.7
5451
#12
124.80.0
124.8124.8
Auto19.3
Teleop103.4
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
29%Auto Quest odds82%Auto Quest odds
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss odds77%Face the Boss odds