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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3732480100200300500600700800437211

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
210.10.0
210.1210.1
Auto24.7
Teleop156.0
End27.9
red by 23.5
1506
#11
186.60.0
186.6186.6
Auto21.9
Teleop141.6
End23.6
Second
5453
#33
163.70.0
163.7163.7
Auto18.2
Teleop130.4
End15.7
red by 29.1
6827
#24
134.60.0
134.6134.6
Auto18.9
Teleop102.0
End13.1
Third
100.00.0
100.0100.0
Auto14.9
Teleop80.5
End5.6
red by 12.3
5445
#23
87.70.0
87.787.7
Auto15.5
Teleop69.9
End3.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
56%Auto Quest odds68%Auto Quest odds
Face the Boss
5%Face the Boss odds4%Face the Boss odds