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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3462900100200400500600700800255183

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1506
#11
186.60.0
186.6186.6
Auto21.9
Teleop141.6
End23.6
red by 17.1
2826
#16
169.50.0
169.5169.5
Auto19.4
Teleop124.7
End26.2
Second
1595
#22
147.40.0
147.4147.4
Auto18.5
Teleop106.9
End23.5
red by 6.9
140.50.0
140.5140.5
Auto18.6
Teleop105.5
End16.7
Third
9109
#29
60.10.0
60.160.1
Auto5.0
Teleop45.2
End9.9
Level
9101
#52
60.10.0
60.160.1
Auto5.0
Teleop45.2
End9.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
74%Auto Quest odds46%Auto Quest odds
Face the Boss
7%Face the Boss odds9%Face the Boss odds