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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3971670600800180421

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1506
#11
186.60.0
186.6186.6
Auto21.9
Teleop141.6
End23.6
red by 62.4
5515
#18
124.20.0
124.2124.2
Auto14.8
Teleop97.0
End14.7
Second
5823
#21
152.50.0
152.5152.5
Auto22.7
Teleop116.7
End13.0
red by 61.3
5308
#28
91.10.0
91.191.1
Auto12.9
Teleop73.8
End3.3
Third
6940
#19
89.90.0
89.989.9
Auto13.5
Teleop71.4
End6.5
red by 29.8
9106
#20
60.10.0
60.160.1
Auto5.0
Teleop45.2
End9.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
77%Auto Quest odds19%Auto Quest odds
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss odds4%Face the Boss odds