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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions19936605001,0001,500163331

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6356
#51
109.00.0
109.0109.0
Auto14.1
Teleop87.1
End9.9
blue by 80.9
2834
#13
190.00.0
190.0190.0
Auto20.1
Teleop145.5
End22.6
Second
5445
#23
87.70.0
87.787.7
Auto15.5
Teleop69.9
End3.2
blue by 36.5
5515
#18
124.20.0
124.2124.2
Auto14.8
Teleop97.0
End14.7
Third
5306
#50
61.10.0
61.161.1
Auto5.1
Teleop45.9
End10.1
blue by 45.0
6986
#41
106.10.0
106.1106.1
Auto13.7
Teleop85.9
End7.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
12%Auto Quest odds31%Auto Quest odds
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss odds9%Face the Boss odds