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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions43819106008001,0001,200376184

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
252.10.0
252.1252.1
Auto29.0
Teleop173.2
End48.1
red by 124.9
6353
#34
127.20.0
127.2127.2
Auto20.5
Teleop97.8
End7.8
Second
6970
#30
126.50.0
126.5126.5
Auto17.5
Teleop99.4
End10.3
blue by 0.2
6941
#49
126.70.0
126.7126.7
Auto19.2
Teleop96.4
End7.7
Third
5515
#18
124.20.0
124.2124.2
Auto14.8
Teleop97.0
End14.7
red by 24.2
100.00.0
100.0100.0
Auto14.9
Teleop80.5
End5.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
87%Auto Quest odds51%Auto Quest odds
Face the Boss
79%Face the Boss odds3%Face the Boss odds