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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions24433004006008001,0001,2001,400177337

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
141.30.0
141.3141.3
Auto17.5
Teleop105.4
End21.5
blue by 45.3
1506
#11
186.60.0
186.6186.6
Auto21.9
Teleop141.6
End23.6
Second
6356
#51
109.00.0
109.0109.0
Auto14.1
Teleop87.1
End9.9
red by 48.9
9101
#52
60.10.0
60.160.1
Auto5.0
Teleop45.2
End9.9
Third
9059
#45
60.10.0
60.160.1
Auto5.0
Teleop45.2
End9.9
Level
9102
#40
60.10.0
60.160.1
Auto5.0
Teleop45.2
End9.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
39%Auto Quest odds67%Auto Quest odds
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss odds5%Face the Boss odds