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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3022850100200400500600700800106393

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5522
#38
146.50.0
146.5146.5
Auto19.3
Teleop111.8
End13.3
blue by 23.0
2826
#16
169.50.0
169.5169.5
Auto19.4
Teleop124.7
End26.2
Second
6827
#24
134.60.0
134.6134.6
Auto18.9
Teleop102.0
End13.1
red by 12.7
6487
#15
122.00.0
122.0122.0
Auto16.9
Teleop91.3
End14.3
Third
6393
#43
107.30.0
107.3107.3
Auto17.9
Teleop85.5
End6.9
red by 17.4
6940
#19
89.90.0
89.989.9
Auto13.5
Teleop71.4
End6.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
40%Auto Quest odds37%Auto Quest odds
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss odds8%Face the Boss odds