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Red45
433424.7
635117.7
507810.8
Blue48
325017.2
759113.5
779911.6
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions584720304070804548

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4334
#11
24.70.4
25.224.9
Auto6.5
Teleop14.7
End3.4
red by 7.5
3250
#17
17.20.2
17.917.7
Auto3.1
Teleop8.7
End5.4
Second
17.70.4
18.217.9
Auto2.8
Teleop11.9
End2.9
red by 4.1
13.50.3
14.514.2
Auto3.3
Teleop6.8
End3.4
Third
5078
#22
10.80.4
11.511.1
Auto4.2
Teleop2.5
End4.1
blue by 0.8
7799
#20
11.60.3
12.512.3
Auto2.7
Teleop3.6
End5.3