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Red54
433424.7
325017.2
67008.0
Blue61
419111.3
507810.8
212230.3
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4948303540455560655461

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4334
#11
24.70.5
21.822.3
Auto6.5
Teleop14.7
End3.4
blue by 5.6
30.30.6
25.526.1
Auto4.0
Teleop19.4
End6.8
Second
3250
#17
17.20.5
15.616.1
Auto3.1
Teleop8.7
End5.4
red by 5.8
4191
#34Sur
11.31.0
9.710.7
Auto3.3
Teleop6.2
End1.8
Third
6700
#25Sur
8.00.9
8.99.7
Auto2.4
Teleop3.7
End1.9
blue by 2.8
5078
#22
10.81.0
10.511.5
Auto4.2
Teleop2.5
End4.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed4%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
19%HAB Docking oddsMissed38%HAB Docking oddsEarned