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Red54
67008.0
148212.9
35934.1
Blue44
77069.7
618820.1
511813.4
89%Model gave it11%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions58411020305070805444

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
359
#1
34.10.1
34.634.5
Auto4.7
Teleop20.2
End9.3
red by 14.0
6188
#10
20.10.6
14.615.2
Auto5.1
Teleop9.3
End5.7
Second
1482
#24
12.90.1
10.710.6
Auto4.1
Teleop5.4
End3.3
blue by 0.6
5118
#29
13.40.4
11.511.9
Auto4.4
Teleop4.8
End4.3
Third
6700
#25
8.00.1
9.79.6
Auto2.4
Teleop3.7
End1.9
blue by 1.7
7706
#33
9.70.4
12.512.8
Auto4.3
Teleop4.3
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
3%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
71%HAB Docking oddsEarned28%HAB Docking oddsMissed