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Red50
67008.0
682318.4
477418.1
Blue36
433424.7
617812.7
604110.8
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions494840455055605036

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6823
#12
18.40.3
16.216.5
Auto4.0
Teleop8.5
End5.9
blue by 6.3
4334
#11
24.70.6
22.822.2
Auto6.5
Teleop14.7
End3.4
Second
18.10.3
20.420.6
Auto4.3
Teleop7.1
End6.7
red by 5.4
6178
#21
12.71.1
12.411.3
Auto4.7
Teleop2.6
End5.4
Third
6700
#25
8.00.4
9.610.0
Auto2.4
Teleop3.7
End1.9
blue by 2.8
6041
#31
10.81.1
10.59.4
Auto3.6
Teleop6.8
End0.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
51%HAB Docking oddsEarned20%HAB Docking oddsMissed