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Red71
321612.5
473316.0
501525.9
Blue44
727714.1
720512.7
511813.4
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions423920305060707144

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
25.93.5
15.118.6
Auto4.2
Teleop14.1
End7.6
red by 11.8
7277
#23
14.10.8
14.014.7
Auto5.3
Teleop6.7
End2.1
Second
4733
#26
16.03.5
12.115.6
Auto3.3
Teleop10.6
End2.1
red by 2.6
5118
#29
13.40.5
11.912.3
Auto4.4
Teleop4.8
End4.3
Third
3216
#15
12.53.5
12.315.8
Auto2.6
Teleop6.4
End3.5
blue by 0.2
7205
#16
12.70.8
11.412.1
Auto2.8
Teleop7.0
End3.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
19%HAB Docking oddsEarned33%HAB Docking oddsMissed