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Red42
321612.5
720512.7
46259.4
Blue29
784310.2
67008.0
473316.0
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions403610203050604229

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7205
#16
12.70.1
12.112.2
Auto2.8
Teleop7.0
End3.0
blue by 3.3
4733
#26
16.00.5
15.615.1
Auto3.3
Teleop10.6
End2.1
Second
3216
#15
12.50.1
15.815.8
Auto2.6
Teleop6.4
End3.5
red by 2.3
7843
#32
10.20.5
8.27.7
Auto3.5
Teleop4.1
End2.6
Third
4625
#35
9.40.1
10.310.4
Auto4.8
Teleop2.7
End1.9
red by 1.4
6700
#25
8.00.5
10.09.5
Auto2.4
Teleop3.7
End1.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
28%HAB Docking oddsMissed23%HAB Docking oddsMissed