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Red63
635117.7
759113.5
501525.9
Blue49
372913.7
325017.2
507810.8
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5042102030607080906349

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
25.91.7
18.620.4
Auto4.2
Teleop14.1
End7.6
red by 8.7
3250
#17
17.20.6
17.317.9
Auto3.1
Teleop8.7
End5.4
Second
17.71.0
14.515.5
Auto2.8
Teleop11.9
End2.9
red by 3.9
3729
#19
13.70.6
11.712.3
Auto3.8
Teleop7.6
End2.3
Third
13.51.7
14.316.1
Auto3.3
Teleop6.8
End3.4
red by 2.7
5078
#22
10.81.0
10.611.6
Auto4.2
Teleop2.5
End4.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed1%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
24%HAB Docking oddsEarned25%HAB Docking oddsEarned