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Red34
77069.7
321612.5
727714.1
Blue62
618820.1
433424.7
759113.5
15%Model gave it85%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions426020801003462

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7277
#23
14.10.6
14.614.0
Auto5.3
Teleop6.7
End2.1
blue by 10.6
4334
#11
24.70.4
23.223.6
Auto6.5
Teleop14.7
End3.4
Second
3216
#15
12.50.6
13.412.8
Auto2.6
Teleop6.4
End3.5
blue by 7.6
6188
#10
20.10.6
19.820.3
Auto5.1
Teleop9.3
End5.7
Third
7706
#33
9.70.4
11.411.0
Auto4.3
Teleop4.3
End1.1
blue by 3.8
13.50.6
13.614.2
Auto3.3
Teleop6.8
End3.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
13%HAB Docking oddsMissed51%HAB Docking oddsMissed