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Red44
460415.1
433424.7
572511.3
Blue15
473316.0
720512.7
724612.2
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions503702060804415

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4334
#11
24.70.3
22.822.6
Auto6.5
Teleop14.7
End3.4
red by 8.7
4733
#26
16.02.6
11.69.0
Auto3.3
Teleop10.6
End2.1
Second
4604
#14
15.10.4
12.011.6
Auto5.5
Teleop6.1
End3.5
red by 2.4
7205
#16
12.72.6
11.38.8
Auto2.8
Teleop7.0
End3.0
Third
5725
#27
11.30.4
12.412.1
Auto4.1
Teleop5.4
End1.8
blue by 0.8
7246
#18
12.22.6
12.29.6
Auto3.5
Teleop5.9
End2.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
26%HAB Docking oddsMissed25%HAB Docking oddsMissed