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Red44
61799.5
212230.3
720512.7
Blue47
759113.5
724612.2
727714.1
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions473702060801004447

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
30.30.0
25.525.5
Auto4.0
Teleop19.4
End6.8
red by 16.2
7277
#23
14.10.1
13.413.3
Auto5.3
Teleop6.7
End2.1
Second
7205
#16
12.70.0
8.88.7
Auto2.8
Teleop7.0
End3.0
blue by 0.8
13.50.1
11.811.7
Auto3.3
Teleop6.8
End3.4
Third
6179
#30
9.50.0
10.110.0
Auto2.9
Teleop5.3
End1.3
blue by 2.6
7246
#18
12.20.1
9.69.5
Auto3.5
Teleop5.9
End2.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
4%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
34%HAB Docking oddsEarned26%HAB Docking oddsMissed